Indian foodgrain output to rise to 305.43 million tons in 2020-21

Government’s 3rd estimate 2.66% improvement on previous crop year

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Indian foodgrain output to rise to 305.43 million tons in 2020-21
The Union Minister for Rural Development, Panchayati Raj, Drinking Water & Sanitation and Urban Development, Shri Narendra Singh Tomar addressing at the launch of the Swachh Sarvekshan (Gramin)- 2017, in New Delhi on August 08, 2017.

India’s agriculture ministry released its third advance estimate on 25 May 2021, for the 2020-21 June to July crop year – predicting a rise in various foodgrains such as rice, wheat, pulses, and coarse cereals to 305.43 million tons. The increase of 2.66% over the previous crop year is attributed to the good monsoon in the past year.

The previous year’s output of these food grains was 297.5 million tons, also a record. The Union Agriculture Minister Narendra Singh Tomar also credited the increase to farmers, scientists, and “to the central government’s policies.” No mention of the farmers’ protests for the past eight months, of course.

Data recorded for foodgrains production in the different crop year

The data released put rice production at a record 121.46 million tons in the 2020-21 crop year compared to 118.87 million tons in the 2019-20 crop year. The wheat production estimate is a record 108.75 million tons in 2020-21, up from 107.86 million tons.

The output of coarse cereals is likely to reach 49.66 million tons, increasing 4% from the 47.75 million tons produced in the previous crop year. The output estimate of pulses is 25.56 million tons, a rise of over 11% over the last year’s 23.03 million tons. Sugarcane production is estimated to reach 392.79 million tons in the current crop year, increasing 6% from the 370.50 million tons last year.

In the non-foodgrain category, the oilseeds production is estimated at 36.56 million tons in 2020-21, also an improvement over the 33.21 million tons of the previous crop year. Cotton production is estimated to improve to 36.40 million bales (each bale is 170 kilograms) over the 36.07 bales produced during the last year.

However, the production of jute and mesta, which are together known as raw jute, is estimated to decrease slightly to 9.62 million bales (each bale is 180 kilograms) in the 2020-21 crop year, from 9.87 million bales last year.

The opportunity for the Indian food industry

The most significant opportunity to turn abundant solar energy into value in India is to produce food and agricultural produce. The government invests in the agriculture, foodgrain, meat and fish, and dairy industries through inter-ministerial programs and directly in various segments through the Ministry of Food Processing Industries, the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, and the Ministry of Fisheries, Animal Husbandry and Dairying.

Chart for IFB 2
India’s share of value added food exports is the lowest among those shown in the KPMG food processing in India report. Graphic based on KPMG graphic

To increase the value of this agricultural, animal husbandry and marine output, the food processing industry needs to gear up. The governance issues of the Mega Food Parks need to be looked into. The second aspect of realizing the value enhancement of the output is exports. Both these things have been known and understood by all governments for the past 70 years, but thus far, the overall results have not been what they should be – Indian exports of food products remains at US$ 33.51 billion (approximately Rs.243,000 crore).

There is a great deal to be done, and increasingly, the statistical work is improving, and the analyses and advice are not far behind. Even if the central and state governments cannot integrate and streamline their activity in this sphere, the entrepreneurs and quasi-public institutions are not waiting. They know that governments come and go, and the processes of modernity and industry have to continue to create value, wealth, and nutrition.

The Covid-19 pandemic led to the country-wide lockdown on 25 March 2020. It will be two years tomorrow as I write this. What have we learned in this time? Maybe the meaning of resilience since small companies like us have had to rely on our resources and the forbearance of our employees as we have struggled to produce our trade platforms.

The print and packaging industries have been fortunate, although the commercial printing industry is still to recover. We have learned more about the digital transformation that affects commercial printing and packaging. Ultimately digital will help print grow in a country where we are still far behind in our paper and print consumption and where digital is a leapfrog technology that will only increase the demand for print in the foreseeable future.

Web analytics show that we now have readership in North America and Europe amongst the 90 countries where our five platforms reach. Our traffic which more than doubled in 2020, has at times gone up by another 50% in 2021. And advertising which had fallen to pieces in 2020 and 2021, has started its return since January 2022.

As the economy approaches real growth with unevenness and shortages a given, we are looking forward to the PrintPack India exhibition in Greater Noida. We are again appointed to produce the Show Daily on all five days of the show from 26 to 30 May 2022.

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– Naresh Khanna

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